The U.S.-China confrontation has become white-hot in recent years. The cause is created by the United States, and most of its tensions are caused by the United States. But the U.S. policy toward China is wrong. China is not a warmonger. The United States' anti-China policy is entirely based on its misjudgment of China. The author believes that the United States has made the following six major misjudgments about China, which will have terrible consequences.
1. The influence of Chinese history
The United States is a young great power, with a history of only 250 years. It was founded at the right time and in the right place; and did not go through great hardships. On the contrary, because it is in North America, far away from the Eurasian wars, it played a leading role in both world wars. By taking advantage of its remote location and delaying participation, they were able to make war profits and gain the status of a victor without bringing the war to its turf causing damages. The United States is relatively short-sighted and biased about history, which can be seen in its national education, light on the five thousand years of history of Asia, especially China, nearly ignored. It also often implements its foreign policy with the posture and mentality of the modern Western colonial empire. The relationship between the United States and China began just as the Manchu Qing Dynasty in China was weakening. The Chinese National Revolution had a treacherous path. The country struggled for nearly thirty years to establish a republic nation while the Western imperial powers were occupying China's cities and ports. After the founding of the People's Republic of China, there was still a civil war lasting nearly one hundred years dividing China across the Taiwan Strait. The United States does not understand nor appreciate China's history and its glorious achievements, and it only regards China as a backward undeveloped, or developing country based on its weakest national conditions. This misjudgment led to the U.S.- China policy that first focused on interfering with weak countries (weak governments) with the power of a large country, and then aimed at maintaining hegemony to prevent the rise of other countries (Japan, Germany, Russia, and China today). Now the U.S.-China relations have resulted in an unfavorable situation. Misjudgment of China's historical influence is a major reason.
2. Variability of the Communist Party of China
The United States’ anti-communist strategy began before World War II and has lasted nearly a hundred years. It regards all communist countries led by Soviet Russia as invariable enemy countries. The Soviet Socialist Republic established by the Communist Party of Soviet Russia did have attempts to expand worldwide. However, the Communist Party of China founded the party based on Marxism only to awaken the Chinese people to overthrow the Manchu Empire. The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) is a new independent party and has a strong history of its revolution and evolution. It did not blindly join the Soviet Communist Union. This can be seen in its clear break with the Soviet Republic in the 1960s. There are mistakes and successes in the evolution of the CCP, but it is undeniable that the CCP is by no means an immutable or invariant political party. Its early experiments, the subsequent efforts to keep a low profile and learn (crossing the river carefully by feeling the stones), and the current reforms and innovations are all proof that the CCP has been changing and progressing. The United States only remembers the tenacity of the Chinese Communist Army in the Korean War. It is a serious misjudgment to regard the CCP as an unchanging Soviet-style Communist Party. It failed to appreciate and approve the CCP's achievements in poverty alleviation, economic development, education elevation in science and technology, and strengthening the military for national defense, so after crushing the Soviets, the U.S. pointed the finger at China.
3. The purpose of China’s rise
China's rapid rise naturally has many basic factors. Looking back and analyzing, it is not difficult to understand some of the characteristics of the Chinese people, the influence of Chinese history, the organizational capabilities of the Communist Party of China, and the favorable international situation at the right time and place, which allows China the opportunity to rise with outstanding performance in economic development. But the main purpose of China's rise is to let the people live a better life. This purpose is also the driving force behind China's success. China is not rising to pursue hegemony nor to rival the United States for hegemony as wrongly judged by many American elites. China's military development is for defense rather than for aggression. This misjudgment has also seriously contributed to the deterioration of Sino-US relations today. The United States has adopted all-out measures to resist and suppress China’s continued development. These misjudgments which produced wrong strategies and policies not only failed to stop China's rise, but instead made the Chinese people resentful. Why can't the Chinese people have the goal of living a better life? The resilience and hard-working spirit of the Chinese people coupled with the success of China’s public education effort will enable China to continue to develop, no one can stop them.
4. China’s future development potential
China is a solid big country with sustainable economic power. Its 1.4 billion people are not only the world's largest productive force, but also the world's largest consumer market. This is because in the process of economic development, it started by promoting a labor-intensive low-end manufacturing industry with cheap labor, used its market to absorb foreign investment and technology to upgrade its industries, and used the education system to support industrial demand, so it could gradually improve its economic development with its periodic five-year development plans. Progress and success are seen in the strength of science and technology and industrial manufacturing even in space exploration. China can maintain an economic engine with dual cylinders (circulation), one, domestic consumption, and the other, external trade and export. China is currently the leading trading partner of more than 120 countries in the world, and its national economy is the second largest in the world. However, its per capita income is still 30-40% behind developed countries. Based on the goal of requiring the country's people to achieve a middle-class living standard, China's economic development still has a lot to accomplish. However, the United States misjudged this, tried its best to badmouth China, constantly promoted the theory of China's collapse, and hyped it in the media. But after 30 to 40 years of crying bear, the bear has not struck China. Africans now want to learn from the Chinese economic model, Europeans and South Americans are beginning to warm up to China, and Southeast Asians understand the benefit of not choosing sides. If the United States still wants to form cliques to suppress China, it may be a thankless task.
5. Misunderstandings about the Belt and Road Initiative
The international rivalry between China and the United States is indeed a struggle for influence among major powers. Since World War II, the United States has become the world's largest economy and the largest military power; and has naturally embarked on the path to world leadership. The United States Marshall Plan helped many countries recover after World War II and was welcomed by many countries. Today's rise of China will inevitably have an impact on the world. China has proposed the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), an economic construction plan. Its concept is based on the principle of mutual assistance (collaboration) and win-win economic development. China has manufacturing capabilities and infrastructure technologies (highway, railways, hydropower energy development, and communication engineering and facilities), the BRI can help other countries develop, and it can absorb China's overcapacity of production. It is a win-win program (no less than the Marshall Plan), but the United States has no intention of cooperating and instead slanders it with misinformation. This is another serious misjudgment that leads the United States to lose an opportunity for cooperation for mutual benefits and also a loss of opportunity for the United States and China to benefit mankind around the world. At present, China has 150 country members and organizations participating in BRI, but if the United States also participates, the effect will be even more amazing.
6. The illusion of Taiwan’s democratic system
Unfortunately, the United States’ misjudgment of China has pushed the United States onto an all-out anti-China path. With its century-old hegemonic behavior and habits, the United States cannot tolerate China's rapid rise, so it uses various means to contain China, deploying an island chain of military alliances, slandering China with human rights violations, and freedom restrictions, applying trade, technology and investment sanctions, and of course engaging diplomatic rivalry. Taiwan is part of China but is separated from the mainland. This is a legacy of the Chinese Civil War after World War II. After maintaining a vague attitude for many decades, the United States has changed its attitude in recent years and instigated Taiwan to resist and obstruct peaceful reunification. The U.S. Congress passed several bills to sell arms to Taiwan, but the United States has only wishful thinking that Taiwan’s democratic system is attractive to the mainland people. Glorifying Taiwan's elections and playing the Taiwan card can make the mainland people uneasy, hence disturbing the CCP. Anyone who has been to mainland China knows the patriotic sentiments of the Chinese people. The Chinese people have strong self-confidence. China's rejuvenation and ever-strength are inevitable, and so is the reunification of Taiwan with the Mainland. China will not fall for the fake tension created by the media.
The surge and loss of American self-confidence
The national chaos in the United States is obvious to all, internal violence and external war affairs are daily headlines. The two American parties are fighting for power without regard to the interests of the country and its people. Politicians focus entirely on winning votes. At present, both parties in the United States are blaming China to deflect domestic problems. On the one hand, they use enemies of war to pump people's patriotic sentiment, competitive spirit, and self-confidence. On the other hand, they are worried that Americans will wake up to reality and be unable to cope with reality, eventually losing self-confidence. The United States used NATO to provoke a war between Russia and Ukraine, but was unable to deal with the aftermath. The United States supports Israel's attack on the Hamas but cannot control Israel's genocide actions. The United States has undermined its own rules and lost confidence in free trade and market competition. The United States' prestige in the international community is waning, and it continues to rely on military power for deterrence, but the U.S. - China confrontation has shown that the U.S. has more ambition than ability, it knows that it is not sure of a victory against China. Its alliance strategy against China may not produce a core union because other members have different interests and dependence on China. If the U.S. persists with its ill-justified anti-China strategy, it may lead to a war with China, a possible nuclear World War III. The United States itself cannot stand aloof like two previous world wars. The war will come to the U.S. continent causing serious destruction.
Therefore, if the United States does not reflect on its China policies and change, the consequences will be a disaster for mankind. The wrong policies are the result of the above six misjudgments.
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